Many are sick of hearing me say, “That school is a reach for everybody. ” Some of my colleagues call such schools “moonshots” or “lottery schools” hoping to convey to students that it is extremely unlikely that they will be accepted. It is a bitter pill to swallow for hard-working “A” students to be told exactly how small their chance of acceptance is. Why is it that so many deserving and capable students must lower their expectations? It is basic math.
Here are Some Numbers
Let’s start with Ivy League schools. As a reminder, the Ivy League is a NCAA athletic league, not a descriptor for academic prowess. The term, however, is used more often to describe their esteemed educational opportunities than to discuss their hockey teams. These eight institutions are perfect examples of schools that I refer to as “reaches” for everybody. I imagine that while students and their parents are outwardly sobered by the fact that Columbia and Harvard each have an admissions rate of about 3.4%, inwardly they are saying, “Then I still have a chance!”
Here are the cold, hard facts. There are about 27,000 public and private high schools in the U.S. There are, therefore, 54,000 valedictorians and salutatorians in the U.S. Combined, the Ivy League schools make offers of admission to about 20,000 high school students. So, if class rank was the only criteria they used, they would have to turn away 7,000 valedictorians and every salutatorian. This isn’t even taking international applicants into account.
Harvard tweeted in 2022 that they had 2,000 available slots in their freshman class. 8,000 of their applicants had perfect GPAs and 4,000 applicants were ranked first in their class. Additionally, 18,000 applicants submitted SAT scores of 700 or higher in the reading/writing section and 20,000 scored 700 or higher in the math section.
The same math applies to more than just Ivy League schools. Application numbers are often driven by popular published rankings which is where research for many students begins and ends. This results in top U.S. and international students applying to many of the same schools. Prestige is important to these academically motivated students. It is what they have worked for, but it also means that they are competing with many of the same people at each of the colleges to which they apply. So what can be done to mitigate the problem?
Amend Your Plan of Attack
While students can take a shot at any school they want, they and their parents should get excited about additional, more attainable choices. How do you do this? There are a number of ways.
First, list the attributes of those pie-in-the-sky schools that appeal to you. From there you can research and find schools that have those same ideals be it majors, geography or research opportunities. Creating your own ranking system based on knowing what you want from your college experience, is the first step in insuring that you land at a school that is a good fit.
If you are fortunate enough to be going to visit colleges, don’t just plan to go to the dream schools, see some in that area that you know less about. This country is filled with “hidden gems,” and you might discover your treasure. Go prepared with a list of questions to ask to help you learn more about each school. You might discover that a school not previously on your radar has some amazing opportunities.
Parents play an important role. They typically have a good deal of influence over their children’s attitudes about colleges. Talk up the attributes of “target” schools. Be open-minded so that your children will be as well. As their students’ cheerleaders, parents can help their children swallow that bitter pill of the realities of selective admissions.
Anne Murphy is an independent educational consultant. Contact her to learn more about college admissions, and how she might be able to help you with the application process.